Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 37.094281 42.608723 48.560079 55.447736 63.186276 71.598853 81.422723
2024-12-15 28.111409 35.906892 45.111064 56.716816 70.890782 87.564430 108.583196
2024-12-22 20.873559 29.119462 39.600381 53.759513 72.227475 95.319744 126.173409
2024-12-29 17.689575 26.525942 38.449162 55.467852 78.842195 109.482798 152.281434
2025-01-05 15.734305 25.113970 38.435345 58.355292 86.919773 125.851508 182.239585
2025-01-12 13.080761 22.196642 35.804520 57.083372 88.872236 133.814918 201.146254
2025-01-19 10.684720 19.244201 32.651003 54.529677 88.503521 138.208673 215.044820
2025-01-26 10.002542 18.906589 33.402964 57.877394 97.058848 155.938487 249.197393
2025-02-02 9.719210 19.177598 35.112257 62.828800 108.393832 178.469016 291.803475
2025-02-09 8.729815 18.052598 34.352518 63.628367 113.140230 191.177259 320.200809
2025-02-16 7.737133 16.766262 33.144042 63.501554 116.281209 201.469777 345.338575
2025-02-23 6.805011 15.449427 31.709978 62.796275 118.316193 210.011028 368.060660
2025-03-02 6.067138 14.456843 30.841353 63.170777 122.509075 222.808599 399.265981
2025-03-09 5.428737 13.580815 30.109182 63.760388 127.205565 236.903782 433.775516
2025-03-16 4.463369 11.822410 27.408738 60.310918 124.281169 237.774148 446.093484
2025-03-23 4.130090 11.435706 27.438148 62.165153 131.275779 256.291428 489.664682
2025-03-30 3.941809 11.359729 28.105382 65.349966 141.014990 280.244481 544.021851
2025-04-06 3.416867 10.357055 26.628005 63.942128 141.707009 287.839089 569.753300
2025-04-13 2.868807 9.182994 24.598010 61.117595 139.300590 289.488290 584.748413
2025-04-20 2.797909 9.279694 25.523765 64.819508 150.401742 317.117129 648.805942
2025-04-27 2.828073 9.664658 27.178428 70.290422 165.532070 353.223100 730.341774
2025-05-04 2.596306 9.252639 26.834839 71.173408 171.069907 371.088773 778.438581
2025-05-11 2.337493 8.708426 26.087409 71.033372 174.387825 384.759804 819.193139